
Jay Bouwmeester will likely move to free agency on July 1st. (photo credit: Joel Auerbach)
I can promise you one thing; you will not see a list of possible free agency pickups by the Flyers anywhere else on the web. I know because I looked for one. While it is obvious the Flyers don’t have much in the way of cap space right now going into the offseason there are plenty of ways to make up for it. On top of that, free agency isn’t always something the Flyers make a big impact in, especially when the team is already competitive. Still Holmgren has a history of “tire kicking” and making sure he investigates every possible player, big-name or otherwise, that he feels could make a beneficial impact on this team.
So this is your first extensive look at what the 2009 free agency period could be hiding around the corner for the Flyers in terms of what I feel to be their biggest need; defense. Out of the three defensive pairings that suited up for the Flyers the Timonen-Parent pairing was by far the most competent. Those two along with Coburn will be Flyers next season. That much I can guarantee. Jones, Alberts, and Matt Carle have very much questionable futures with the orange and black. Randy Jones has been suffering from a hip injury and has performed terribly all season when in the lineup. His pay of $2.7m/year for a mistake-latent bottom pairing defenseman means that many hope he will be gone before next season begins let alone at the end of his contract the next summer even if it means just waiving him. Luca Sbisa brings everything Jones does while having a much higher potential, more physicality, and better awareness in the offensive zone at a far cheaper price. With Sbisa basically a lock to make the Flyers next season Jones is more than expendable, but getting rid of him might even be addition by subtraction. Alberts on the other hand has received praise from the organization despite playing poorly. Holmgren has talked about re-signing him before he hits the open market on July 1st. At $1.25m/year as his cap hit for this past season many feel that if he is retained at all it should not cost the Flyers more than his current salary. At that price I’d rather have Ossi Vaananen back anyway. Matt Carle is another intriguing issue that the Flyers will have to deal with. He is currently signed for three more seasons at $3.44m/year, but when he plays bad he is definitely a liability. When he’s playing well he helps the team of course, and he was obviously a major part of this team’s turnaround after a terrible start. On top of that the organization has praised his efforts during the postseason. Matt Carle is a likeable guy, but with his salary there might be better options for the Flyers going forward. The only way Matt Carle goes though is if the organization is sure it has a stranglehold on a top free agent defenseman at a reasonable salary.
Other things to note:
- Holmgren mentioned in his recent State of the Franchise address that he does not know where all of these rumors of him wanting to get more physical on the blueline are coming from.
- Holmgren has mentioned that he wants to get bigger on the defensive side of the puck during the STH Town Hall Meetings, but once again denied the need to get a more physical defense.
- Holmgren has also expressed his interest in top free agent defenseman Jay Bouwmeester.
- Holmgren has mentioned that he’s waiting to see what the cap situation is for the next season before heading into the offseason full steam ahead.
JAY BOUWMEESTER – 25 years old
Prior Salary Cap Hit: $4.88m
Size: 6′4 – 212 lbs.
Acquisition Grade (deal-dependent): A+
It’s possible that the Flyers could attempt to go after Bouwmeester’s rights at the deadline if they intend to go in that direction since it would be necessary that they clear up cap space to fit his salary. If he were to come to Philadelphia it would certainly take a multi-year deal to get it done along the lines of $5.00m as an low starting point to anywhere up to $7.00m as a higher rough estimate. With news that the cap might plateau and even fall in the couple of seasons it is certainly a buyers market. If the Flyers have to sign him for big money it will likely be a 2-3 year deal, but at a reasonable $6.00m or so for a number of years Bouwmeester could find a home in Philadelphia. The only stipulation to his signing with the orange and black though is that Matt Carle becomes useless, and Jones is already useless because of Sbisa. Carle and Jones leaving frees up about $6.14m in cap space which would go a long way to get Bouwmeester under contract, but taking Sbisa’s contract into consideration should Bouwmeester in fact come at only $6.00m/year the Flyers would jump about a million dollars in cap space used up even with Carle and Jones gone. It would also tie up the organization financially with re-signings for Coburn and Parent coming up. It would be nice to give up Briere’s salary for Bouwmeester’s and wash everything away that easily, but in order for the Flyers to function with JayBo under contract it would take the movement of likely Joffrey Lupul to another team as well as Carle and Jones.
Bouwmeester is a top 10 NHL defenseman on virtually everyones top 10 list. He’s a 6′4, 212 lb. specimen that works in the offensive zone and the defensive zone like an future Olympic defenseman would. At 25 he’s still got plenty of potential to realize, and he wants to play for a winning organization which is a big reason for his likely departure from Florida. If the Flyers can gain Bouwmeester the entire city of Philadelphia should give Paul Holmgren the biggest “Thank you!” Philadelphia has ever given anyone.
MATTIAS OHLUND – 32 years old
Prior Salary Cap Hit: $3.50m
Size: 6′2 – 220 lbs.
Acquisition Grade (deal-dependent): A-
It is expected that 32 year old Mattias Ohlund will be leaving Vancouver in order to test the free agent waters. All signs have pointed to his desire to move on and forward from the Canucks. That’s a good sign for the Flyers who would love another legitimate top pairing defenseman as well as a sturdy veteran. He is inconsistent offensively sometimes and doesn’t always play at 100% health, but the Flyers could in fact live with that as long as he isn’t another Derian Hatcher. Since that’s not likely to happen Ohlund makes an interesting possible target for the Flyers. He would likely want an increase in salary from his current $3.50m/year deal, but adding a $4.00m/year to $5.00m/year defender would work out nicely for the Flyers if they intend to move Randy Jones and are willing to let go of Matt Carle. He is obviously not the long term solution that Carle would be at the age of 24, but signed to a moderate contract in terms of length Ohlund could do very well in Philadelphia. Offensively Matt Carle would be missed if the team would go in this direction, and it’s not like the team would be getting a brilliant, young two-way defenseman like Jay Bouwmeester. Ohlund would definitely help shut opposing players down and wouldn’t necessarily have to make up for Carle’s powerplay time with the emergence of Luca Sbisa. That doesn’t mean that Ohlund is completely devoid of offensively ability, but if he’s brought into Philly it’s because he makes a living shutting down guys like Ovechkin, Crosby, Malkin, E. Staal, and Parise.
OSSI VAANANEN – 28 years old
Prior Salary Cap Hit: $1.00m
Size: 6′4 – 212 lbs.
Acquisition Grade (deal-dependent): B+
Remember this guy who was so casually tossed to the side along with Glen Metropolit when Briere came back from injury? Think we could’ve used him in the postseason when Alberts and Jones were terrible? I’d love to see Vaananen back in Philadelphia if he’ll let us sign him to a $1.30m/year over four to five seasons. He is the right size for a defenseman, and his skating is decent enough to allow him to move the puck. His offensive abilities aren’t great, but they’re definitely underrated. He is a shut-down defenseman in his own right, but can certainly move the puck. This is who the Flyers should’ve kept in the line up, and even re-signed at the end of this season. Letting Alberts go, waiving Jones, and pairing Vaananen up with Sbisa for the 3rd defensive pairing would certainly be a step in the right direction for the organization. On top of that he’s inexpensive.
MIKE KOMISAREK – 27 years old
Prior Salary Cap Hit: $1.90m
Size: 6′5 – 240 lbs.
Acquisition Grade (deal-dependent): B
Mike Komisarek had a so-so season in Montreal this year, but that’s hardly a major factor when most of the team had an off season. Even though this is the physical monster I think the Flyers could use on the blueline next season to help shut down some of the better offensive attacks that the Flyers see during the course of a season, with recent comments by Paul Holmgren I’m not so sure that this is the kind of direction the organization wants to go in. There are plenty of rumors going around that even with the Canadiens having plenty of room for him next season they will part with their bruising blueliner should he ask for too much money. Defensive defenseman rarely put up many points (see Ryan Parent) and because of this are often left out of the money making side of the blueline. Still at around $3.50m to $4.00m a year the Flyers could use a guy like him hanging around through a multi-year contract. Once again it would mean goodbye to Carle, but unlike with Ohlund you shouldn’t expect any offensive help from Komisarek. He’s a master without the puck, but with the puck he’ll get you about as far as “out of the zone” means. It’s not necessarily a bad thing, but the Flyers may be looking for defensemen that can move the puck up the ice effectively.
DEREK MORRIS – 30 years old
Prior Salary Cap Hit: $3.92m
Size: 6′0 – 221 lbs.
Acquisition Grade (deal-dependent): B
Unfortunately Derek Morris is getting up there just like Mattias Ohlund. With plenty of seasons in Calgary, Colorado, and Phoenix he was once a very good defenseman in his prime. At 30 he’s not quite fallen off the map, but it’s obvious that his offensive production is slipping. Still with his ticket out of New York basically punched by the Rangers’ need to re-sign numerous restricted free agents, he would make a solid defender to add to the Flyers. At $4.00m to $5.00m on a two to three year deal he could help out the Flyers quite a bit, but this would mean Matt Carle has to go. Carle is much younger and his offensive production is better even though Morris is all around more solid. The one thing to like about Morris is his skating as well as his hard shot. At the blueline he is aggressive and thorough which is a very nice thing to have. Unfortunately he does seem to suffer from the same mental lapses that many of the Flyers have, but they occur less frequently with this veteran.
PAUL MARA – 29 years old
Prior Salary Cap Hit: $1.95m
Size: 6′4 – 219 lbs.
Acquisition Grade (deal-dependent): C+
Paul Mara is another Ranger likely headed out of New York due to restricted free agents needing their first real NHL contracts. With the size that Holmgren mentioned he was looking for and the solid skating to keep the flow going out of the zone Mara could be a solid option in the $2.00m to $3.00m range should Holmgren decide to not re-sign Andrew Alberts. Mara is a better version of Alberts and can lead the rush effectively. At a bottom pairing he could do well in Philadelphia as long as Jones’ salary comes off the books. He would be an expensive 3rd pairing guy of course, but with solid skating and size he could be a player the Flyers might look into. He’s certainly better than Jones and Alberts, possibly combined, and would certainly cost less than the two of them. If the Flyers can reasonably convince him to play at less than Jones’ salary and get rid of Jones I would say to go for it on a short term deal, especially if the Flyers cannot make any better defensive upgrades.
JOHNNY ODUYA – 27 years old
Prior Salary Cap Hit: $0.60m
Size: 6′0 – 200 lbs.
Acquisition Grade (deal-dependent): C
He is at least on par with Alberts and an upgrade to Jones defensely and salary wise. Johnny Oduya from the Devils for a $1.00m/year 1 season contract is at least worth a shot. He is not big at all, but skates very well and is apparently a good locker room presence. Again, he isn’t much more than a cheap replacement for Alberts should Alberts want a deal for about $2.00m a season. He beats Jones’ $2.70m any day, but many are hoping that it will be Sbisa who takes Jones’ spot.
FRANCOIS BEAUCHEMIN – 28 years old
Prior Salary Cap Hit: $1.65m
Size: 6′0 – 213 lbs.
Acquisition Grade (deal-dependent): C-
I’m not sure how much of an upgrade Beauchemin would be for Matt Carle at all. If the Flyers are looking for an extra player on the 3rd pairing to help them out they can find players that will come for far less than Beauchemin. On top of that he is coming off a season of only 20 games played with the Anaheim Ducks thanks to a torn ACL. I haven’t heard much about his availability, but this isn’t the type of guy to upgrade the Flyers defensive core. He’s too expensive to be a bottom line pairing, and he’s not necessarily better than Matt Carle. He is physical and has a wicked slap shot, but the Flyers said that they likely weren’t going for more physical. His offensive production is also often inconsistent, and he can get beat one on one. This warrants a “No thank you.” from the Flyers.
JORDAN LEOPOLD – 28 years old
Prior Salary Cap Hit: $1.50m
Size: 6′1 – 200 lbs.
Acquisition Grade (deal-dependent): C-
Just like with Beauchemin, Jordan Leopold may not exactly be an upgrade to Matt Carle. He may be more solid and well-rounded than Carle, but he hasn’t faired so well up in Calgary since heading there right at the trade deadline. He would likely command $3.00m to $4.00m which isn’t worth the hassle of moving Carle. Why would we move Carle to get another Carle at relatively the same price? Both do the same things well and have problems with the same things. This is completely unnecessary. The Flyers shouldn’t go in this direction.
—That’s the basic gist of it. The Flyers, should they get a significant upgrade to Matt Carle could very well try to move him to sign someone like Bouwmeester or Ohlund. Other than that though it may just be best to keep him. Either way Jones has to go, and I’m leaning to the point where Alberts has to go. If no major upgrades to Carle are available I can’t imagine the Flyers doing much in free agency on the blueline. Trading for RFAs isn’t out of the question, but it’s hard when generally all the teams the Flyers would be trading to would need to dump salary in order to re-sign the RFA while the team on the other end likely has to drop the RFA because of their own salary issues. That doesn’t mean the trade possibilities are only RFAs though. If they feel they can’t get Bouwmeester the organization may try to upgrade the defense through trades of currently signed players. The possibilities for who it could be are endless though so don’t expect a list for that. We will have to wait and see how everything shapes up. My five favorites to see wearing orange and black next season rank like this: 1) Bouwmeester, 2) Bouwmeester, 3) Bouwmeester, 4) Ohlund, 5) Vaananen.