
Roy Halladay HAS to end up in red pinstripes: it only makes sense. He’s still in the prime of his career but doesn’t have a ton of time at the top left, and he wants to play for a contender. The Phillies for the first time in a long time have the farm system to make a big splash to dramatically improve their chances at a repeat. Not to mention Halladay is a ground-ball pitcher; a perfect fit for cozy Citizens Bank Park.
On paper it would seem like a no-brainer move that could ultimately benefit both sides. The Phils get an ace, and the Jays restock their system and give their fans some hope for the future. There’s only one problem…J.P. Ricciardi is a greedy snot-nosed ten year-old. If only I had a dime for every time he swayed back and forth from “it’s 50-50 Halladay gets moved” to “we’re probably keeping him” over the past few weeks. He is essentially an immature brat who cannot accept that fact that he has to do something, stomps his feet on the ground, folds his arms, and refuses to move an inch regardless of how neccessary said action is.
Despite all J.P.’s bullshit I still think this deal will happen, and here’s five reasons why it’s something the Phillies have to do:
1.) Ideally we don’t want to rely upon Jamie Moyer, Rodrigo Lopez, or Pedro Martinez in the Postseason.
All due respect to Jamie, but he was a liability in the playoffs last season (excluding his WS start) and that was before he struggled mightily this year. I will always love the guy for what he’s done for this franchise and how he’s coached up our young arms, but I don’t want him anywhere near the mound in the playoffs. Period. As for Pedro, he is a complete unknown and I’d feel better bringing him in out of the pen in the playoffs. Lopez has pitched admirably, but it isn’t going to last.
Without picking up another pitcher the Phils four-man playoff rotation would probably have to include one of those previously-mentioned elder statesmen (Hamels, Blanton, Happ, Moyer/Martinez/Lopez.) That won’t get the job done in October.
2.) Adding a certifiable ace will take the pressure off Cole Hamels.
I don’t know Cole Hamels personally (although I did shake his hand after a game in San Diego this season) but it’s obvious to any outside observer that something just isn’t right with him. While he’s shown signs of his dominant self from the playoffs last season for the most part he has looked pretty ordinary. Adding a Roy Halladay to the club would take a lot of pressure off his back to the “the” stopper, and he and Roy could become the 2009 version of Curt Schilling-Randy Johnson circa 2001. Without acquiring Schilling the D-Backs probably wouldn’t have won the World Series, and the I see the Phils being in a very similar situation.
3.) Adding Halladay will give the rest of the team confidence.
I usually write John Kruk off as batshit crazy, but he actually had a good point *gasp* on a recent Baseball Tonight. He and another analyst (Dave Winfield?) were discussing the mental benefits of adding a star to your pitching staff at the deadline. Winfield talked about some guy the Yanks brought in a long time ago (he is old as hell, after-all) and it gave them the confidence to know they had the support of the front office and were going all the way. Kruk talked about how in 1993 the Phillies had a chance to get Randy Johnson and didn’t, and how it completely deflated the clubhouse.
I wouldn’t expect the Phils to just roll over if they didn’t get Roy, but you have to admit the players are fully aware of the rumors and could be letdown at the prospect of not bringing in one of the game’s best starters.
4.) The Phillies wouldn’t want Halladay going to another contender.
If J.P. Ricciardi is smart (still very much up in the air) he’ll realize Halladay’s value will never be any higher (Roy is going into the final year of his contract next season) and he’ll make a move before the deadline. If the Phils drop out of the running, how tough would it be to see Halladay go to a team like the Dodgers or the Angels (two of his other rumored destinations) and be a difference-maker for them in the playoffs?
5.) There is not guarantee Joe Blanton or J.A. Happ will continue to pitch this well.
Blanton and Happ have been on a roll lately, but say one or both hit a bit of a rough patch? That leaves Hamels as the lone “sure thing” on the staff, which won’t be even close to enough to repeat.
Allow me to take a minute though to give some big time props to Blanton. Since Myers went down with an injury he has steadily taken over that #2 spot in the rotation. Just take a look at his record and his ERA/Opp. batting average each month since the start of the season:
April: 0-2, 8.41, .371
May: 3-1, 4.65, .238
June: 1-1, 3.62, .267
July: 2-0, 0.83, .176
God-forbid Halladay doesn’t end up in Philly, here are five other options for the Phils to consider…
1.) Dan Haren, Arizona
There haven’t been a ton of rumors surrounding Haren which is surprising given how well he’s pitched for the lowly D-Backs. He’s somehow managed to fly below the radar despite the fact that he has a 0.84 WHIP, which is flat out sick (Just to give you an idea, that is the best WHIP in the Majors. Guess who’s in second? Roy Halladay at 1.05.) Haren is also four years younger than Roy, which would be another benefit of going after him.
2.) Cliff Lee, Cleveland
Lee may not be as flashy as Halladay or Haren, but he’d be a solid addition to the Phils rotation and it would probably take less to get him as well. While his season long stats are respectable, he has been lights out lately (3-0, 1.44 ERA, 14:0 K:BB ratio over his last three starts.)
Remember last season at the deadline? The Brewers may have landed the big name (C.C. Sabathia) but the Phils managed to acquire Joe Blanton, and last time I checked that’s worked out just fine. Getting Lee over Halladay would be a similar (although not ideal) situation.
3.) Zach Duke, Pittsburgh
The fact that Duke has a .500 record (9-9) on a team as miserable as the Pirates is a testimate to his talent. He won’t come in as an ace, but he’d be a solid #2 for the Phils and he is just entering his prime at 26 years-old.
4.) Justin Duchscherer, Oakland
The Phils added one arm from the A’s last season, and might do it again. Duchscherer has been hurt all season and is just getting back now, but his strong numbers last season (10-8, 2.54 ERA, 1.00 WHIP) in 22 starts were outstanding. Obviously there are health concerns over whether he’d be ready to make a late season impact, but if he looks good in his upcoming rehab assignments he’d be a great addition to the staff.
5.) Jarrod Washburn, Seattle
I’m not a fan of Washburn’s but he has been a big surprise for the Mariners this season (8-6, 2.71, 1.06.) At the same time he is clearly on the downside of his career at age 34 and his postseason ERA (4.91) leaves a lot to be desired, so I’d probably steer clear unless the price was right (as in dirt cheap.)